Sold 4.2% of Avanza @ SEK185 per share.
It pains me to sell Avanza. But I cannot justify its valuation at this level. The trading intensity of Avanza customer base is so abnormally high (+50% versus an average of last 5 years) that it is only a matter of time before trading activity normalises. Hence current Avanza’s earning is materially overstated and putting a peak multiple (26x) on a materially overstated earning base is not good for prospective returns.
On the other hand, Avanza’s intrinsic value has benefitted from customer growth. I still have a 2% position in Avanza and I look forward to buying Avanza back at a lower valuation.
Generally, I do not try to trade around investments as I usually don’t make money out of it. Especially for a very high-quality franchise like Avanza. But when the valuation is so out of whack, I have to act.